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Friday, September 24, 2010

Trading system Development

Hi All,
I am posting a message after a very long time.
Trading system optimisation is very difficult : in the sense that whether it should be done or not.
Everybody does some kind of optimisation in trading systems , isn't it an optimisation when we discard one system over other simply because it has performed well over others in the past.

It is neccessary that we start with the right kind of logic which suits our personality : whether we are comfortable doing trend trading or mean reversion trading.

Ideally if the logic of the system depends on the personality of the trader , it would be easier emotionally to trade it in real markets.
Here one should search for stable parameters and not curve fitted ones.

After developing the logic which can be as simple as crossover of two moving averages or crossing of high of past 20 days (turtle traders used it  as system 1)  one should think about when to enter.

Here , it would be prudent to know that only entering a buy trade if the high of buy signal bar is broken and entering a short trade only if a low of short signal bar is broken.
Then the exits should be planned which can come in observing the MAE and a trailing stoploss is advisable.
Welcome for comments from readers ..................

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Eurozone Crisis

In 2008, we saw a flight from corporate paper to sovereign paper, now we might see a flight from sovereign paper to something else, seeing the eurozone crisis ,which could be good for countries in Asia especially India and China which have fundamentally strong economy and currencies. There is also a possibility of rally in Commodities on similar lines that happened in 2008.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Ranbaxy 06/05/2010

Buy at / above: 451.56 Targets: 456.66 - 462.01 - 467.4 - 472.82
Stoploss : 446.26
Sell at / below: 446.26 Targets: 441.22 - 435.98 - 430.77 - 425.6
Stoploss : 451.56

Kotak Bank 06/05/2010

Buy at / above: 749.39 Targets: 755.87 - 762.75 - 769.67 - 776.62
Stoploss : 742.56
Sell at / below: 742.56 Targets: 736.13 - 729.36 - 722.62 - 715.92
Stoploss : 749.39

Wipro 06/05/2010

Buy at / above: 676 Targets: 682.17 - 688.71 - 695.29 - 701.89
Stoploss : 669.51
Sell at / below: 669.51 Targets: 663.39 - 656.96 - 650.57 - 644.21
Stoploss : 676

Nifty 06/05/2010

Buy at / above: 5130.14 Targets: 5145.48 - 5163.43 - 5181.4 - 5199.41
Stoploss : 5112.25
Sell at / below: 5112.25 Targets: 5096.93 - 5079.1 - 5061.29 - 5043.52
Stoploss : 5130.14

Buy and Sell strictly above and below the levels

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Nifty can go all the way to 4600


It can be seen that nifty is below the long term gann supports and as can be seen previously we can say that now it is only a matter of time before we see nifty hovering around the levels of 4600....

Saturday, May 1, 2010

Proprietary Firms In India

1)Futures First

Futures First is one of the largest Prop Shops in India Indulging in Derivatives with almost 25% of the employees from IIT.

2) Capstone Securities Analysis Pvt Ltd.

Capstone is a international Organisation with expertise in US Stocks Trading providing an initial Trainee Trader Position for 1 month. The Website is http://www.capstonesa.com/

3) Trenchant India

Trenchant India is situated in Chennai with Prop Positions for around the world Trading.

Website : Trechantft.com

4) TransMarket Group

Transmarket Group is situated in Mumbai and is a US Propreitary Trading Organisation trading almost every available market in World that is liquid.

Website : Transmarketgroup.com

Want to know more about the World's top Tier Prop Firms , i think this article would serve the purpose.

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/files/CME-248_PropFirmDirect_HIres.pdf

Sunday, April 25, 2010

Intraday Idea ( SBI)

Buy at / above: 2256.25 Targets: 2267 - 2278.92 - 2290.86 - 2302.84
Stoploss : 2244.39
Sell at / below: 2244.39 Targets: 2233.67 - 2221.87 - 2210.1 - 2198.36
Stoploss : 2256.25

Intraday idea ( ICICI Bank )

Buy at / above: 984.39 Targets: 991.75 - 999.64 - 1007.55 - 1015.5
Stoploss : 976.56
Sell at / below: 976.56 Targets: 969.25 - 961.48 - 953.74 - 946.03
Stoploss : 984.39

Intraday Idea ( Nifty )

Buy at / above: 5310.76 Targets: 5326.33 - 5344.59 - 5362.87 - 5381.19
Stoploss : 5292.56
Sell at / below: 5292.56 Targets: 5277.02 - 5258.87 - 5240.75 - 5222.67
Stoploss : 5310.76

Intraday Idea ( ABB)

Buy at / above: 826.56 Targets: 833.34 - 840.57 - 847.84 - 855.13
Stoploss : 819.39
Sell at / below: 819.39 Targets: 812.65 - 805.54 - 798.46 - 791.41
Stoploss : 826.56

Intraday idea ( Mcdowell )


Buy at / above: 1260.25 Targets: 1268.5 - 1277.42 - 1286.37 - 1295.35
Stoploss : 1251.39
Sell at / below: 1251.39 Targets: 1243.18 - 1234.38 - 1225.61 - 1216.87
Stoploss : 1260.25

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Real time data feeder for amibroker

http://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B7oMwJcTgsFQYmNkODhhYWUtYzczNi00MGU4LWE4ZjUtNGU3YjAxZThmN2Nl&hl=en

download rtdf

usage instructions

Open Amibroker with your existing database or with new database.
Run RTDF.
Enter yahoo login details by pressing “Settings” button
Press “Start” button.
For back fill, press “BackFill” button and select 1m menu.
Enjoy trading with real time chart.

Friday, April 2, 2010

A New Stock Idea

Buy Bank of India above 349 for a target of 440 in the coming days...........

Friday, February 12, 2010

A Trend Follower

Instead of deciding what markets might or might not do.......it is better to just follow the trend in the markets and make money.........

Sunday, February 7, 2010

HDIL seems a good buy above 308.25

tommorow HDIL can be bought for a target of 320 if it crosses 308.25 below which it has major resistances........

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Nifty Gann Update

Nifty Supports now exits at 4572 where further buying can be done. Nifty has turned bearish for the medium term since it has gone below the 50 DMA

From Drop Box

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Reliance can be shorted tommorow if it opens down with a target of 1102 and then 1079

From Drop Box

Friday, January 15, 2010

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Blasting Gains Again Today

Sesa Goa up from 412 given a breakout to 420
ABB we were long from 814 gone all the way to 852
Shorted Bharti Airtel @ 324 came all the way to 318
Longed Bhel @ 2353 went all the way to 2380...........

Join us free for such Blasting gains

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Blasting Gains

Friends, Blasting gains today achieved in TCS up from 758 to 794 , 36 rupees per share. Join us free for such Blasting gains

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Bhel can move tommorow

There is a possibility of Bhel continuing its upmove tommorow after consolidating between the range of 2426 - 2437

Friday, January 1, 2010

Delivery Stocks to buy

Bartronics Cmp 149 Tgt 158/170 sl 145

Tata Metaliks Cmp 146.5 Tgt 160 Sl 144

Praj Industries Cmp 105.7 Tgt 116/120 Sl 104

Central Bank of India Cmp 170 Tgt 185/190 sl 162